Markin M.A. SYNTHESIS-ANALYTICAL CALCULATION APPROACH TO MONITORING THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT OF THE REGION IN THE ASPECT OF DETERMINANTS OFTHE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET CONDITIONS
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15688/ek.jvolsu.2026.1.7
Maksim А. Markin
Postgraduate Student, Department of Information Systems in Economics, Volgograd State Technical University, Prosp. Lenina, 28, 400005 Volgograd, Russian Federation, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. , https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5084-2046
Abstract. This article, exploring the hypothesis of statistically significant correlations, including mutual correlations, between the state of a region’s economic environment, defined by a set of determinants of the region’s socioeconomic status, and commercial real estate market price indicators, presents the methodological principles and practical application of a comprehensive analytical methodology based on the construction of multiple linear regression models and subsequent interpretation of the results. The study’s findings are presented using examples from the Volgograd, Saratov, Astrakhan, and Penza regions. Methodological approaches are proposed for constructing approximating models for the development of stochastic processes based on calculated indicator values, where the oscillatory component is selected using a trigonometric Fourier series model, taking into account the asynchrony factor and the amplitude reactivity of price indicators to changes in regional economic conditions. A synthesis-analytical approach to interpreting the obtained calculation results allowed us to draw well-founded conclusions about the economic status of the studied regions, general trends, and divergent features of the commercial real estate market in these regions, correlating with actual indicators and established principles. The conclusion outlines the development vectors, scientific significance and interest, and potential for practical application of the research results and the proposed methodology.
Key words: regional economy, socio-economic development of the region, factors of socio-economic growth, commercial real estate market, pricing, correlation and regression analysis, investments, development.
SYNTHESIS-ANALYTICAL CALCULATION APPROACH TO MONITORING THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT OF THE REGION IN THE ASPECT OF DETERMINANTS OF THE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET CONDITIONS by Markin M.A. is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
 4_Markin.pdfURL: https://ges.jvolsu.com/index.php/en/component/attachments/download/2357 | 714 Kb | 43 Downloads |